Premier LeaguePremier League
Thursday, 2 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Bate Borisov

Bate Borisov

Home
DD
01
Full time
FC Gomel

FC Gomel

Away
W
Borisov Arena
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
FC Gomel(42%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: FC Gomel
Win probability
Bate Borisov
30%
Draw
27%
FC Gomel
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bate Borisov
18
FC Gomel
34
Defence
Bate Borisov
82
FC Gomel
91
Momentum
Bate Borisov
33
FC Gomel
100
Danger (xG)
Bate Borisov
0.45
FC Gomel
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Bate Borisov)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (FC Gomel)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bate Borisov)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (FC Gomel)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
DDLLL
FC GomelFC Gomel
WDWL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Bate Borisov30%
Draw27%
FC Gomel42%

FC Gomel leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bate Borisov head into this in Premier League fixture at Borisov Arena in mixed form (DD), while FC Gomel arrive in mixed form (W). Bate Borisov have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC Gomel over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Bate Borisov (82/100) and FC Gomel (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Bate Borisov have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match. FC Gomel have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

FC Gomel have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Gomel to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Bate Borisov 3041%, Draw 2737%, FC Gomel 4223%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Bate Borisov 0Draws 01 FC Gomel
Avg goals: 1.0
2 Jul 2026
Bate Borisov
L01
FC Gomel

Recent form

Bate Borisov

Bate Borisov

D
vs AF Elbasani
16 Jul 2026
00
D
@ AF Elbasani
7 Jul 2026
11
L
vs FC Gomel
2 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Torpedo Zhodino
27 Jun 2026
03
L
vs Arsenal
21 Jun 2026
23
FC Gomel

FC Gomel

W
@ Bate Borisov
2 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Arsenal
26 Jun 2026
11
W
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
20 Jun 2026
20
L
vs Baranovichi
14 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bate Borisov vs FC Gomel?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Gomel to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs FC Gomel?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Bate Borisov vs FC Gomel?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bate Borisov vs FC Gomel?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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