Bate Borisovvs
Belshina
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bate Borisov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bate Borisov 0-0 Belshina, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bate Borisov 0-1 Belshina
Original prediction
Bate Borisov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.7% | 40.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.3% | 30.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.0% | 29.7% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Projected Score
Bate Borisov 0–0 Belshina
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Bate Borisov
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Bate Borisov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bate BorisovLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BelshinaLLLWD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bate BorisovBelshina
25.3Attack34.7
57.3Defence40.3
28.0Form29.2
39.3Power36.6
0.97xG0.81