Premier LeaguePremier League
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Bate Borisov

Bate Borisov

Home
DD
23
Full time
Arsenal

Arsenal

Away
LW
Borisov Arena
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Bate Borisov(50%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Arsenal
Win probability
Bate Borisov
50%
Draw
27%
Arsenal
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bate Borisov
18
Arsenal
18
Defence
Bate Borisov
82
Arsenal
46
Momentum
Bate Borisov
33
Arsenal
50
Danger (xG)
Bate Borisov
0.45
Arsenal
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Bate Borisov)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Arsenal)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Bate Borisov)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Arsenal)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
DDLLL
ArsenalArsenal
LWDWL

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Bate Borisov50%
Draw27%
Arsenal23%

Bate Borisov leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bate Borisov head into this in Premier League fixture at Borisov Arena in mixed form (DD), while Arsenal arrive in mixed form (LW). Bate Borisov have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Arsenal over 2 games.

The model rates Bate Borisov's attack at 18/100 against a 46/100 Arsenal defence, and Arsenal's attack at 18/100 against a 82/100 Bate Borisov backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Bate Borisov have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match. Arsenal have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Arsenal have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Arsenal have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Bate Borisov to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Bate Borisov 5030%, Draw 2670%, Arsenal 2300%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Bate Borisov 0Draws 01 Arsenal
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
Bate Borisov
L23
Arsenal

Recent form

Bate Borisov

Bate Borisov

D
vs AF Elbasani
16 Jul 2026
00
D
@ AF Elbasani
7 Jul 2026
11
L
vs FC Gomel
2 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Torpedo Zhodino
27 Jun 2026
03
L
vs Arsenal
21 Jun 2026
23
Arsenal

Arsenal

L
vs FC Vitebsk
12 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Neman
4 Jul 2026
10
D
vs FC Gomel
26 Jun 2026
11
W
@ Bate Borisov
21 Jun 2026
32
L
@ Neman
10 Oct 2025
01
xG 0.0

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

GoalVio's model predicts Bate Borisov to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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