Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Batanecos are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Alianza are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Copa Presidente, while Alianza holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20