Bastiavs
Valenciennes
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/12/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bastia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Bastia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Valenciennes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bastia hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Ligue 2, while Bastia holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bastia
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Bastia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60