Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cannes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bastia 0-0 Cannes, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bastia 1-1 Cannes
Original prediction
Cannes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.5% | 29.0% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 30.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.5% | 40.9% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Bastia 0–0 Cannes
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Cannes
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Cannes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BastiaWLWLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CannesDWWDD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BastiaCannes
27.8Attack38.9
55.6Defence88.9
50.0Form55.6
47.6Power61.7
0.71xG1.05