Basingstoke Townvs
Yate Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2025, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basingstoke Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yate Town
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40