GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yate Town

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLLLDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Yate TownLWDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownYate Town
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
21.5Power64.8
1.34xG1.70
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