GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/11/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Winchester City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLDLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownWinchester City
50.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence46.8
0.0Form45.2
21.5Power48.2
1.60xG1.73
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