GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/27/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Winchester City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWWLDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityLLLDD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownWinchester City
50.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence46.8
0.0Form45.2
21.5Power48.2
1.60xG1.73
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