Basingstoke Townvs
Uxbridge
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Basingstoke Town 0-2 Uxbridge
Original prediction
Uxbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.6% | 22.3% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.8% | 23.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.6% | 54.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00