GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/20/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tiverton Town hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWLDDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tiverton TownDLDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownTiverton Town
50.0Attack50.8
0.0Defence41.3
0.0Form41.3
21.5Power46.1
1.78xG1.75
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