GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/4/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Swindon Supermarine hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Swindon SupermarineLDDWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownSwindon Supermarine
50.0Attack57.9
0.0Defence27.0
0.0Form38.9
21.5Power42.8
2.23xG1.97
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