GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sholing are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWLLLW

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SholingDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownSholing
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power83.3
1.30xG1.74
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