GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sholing are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDDDWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SholingLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownSholing
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power83.3
1.30xG1.74
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