GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/2/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sholing

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLDLWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SholingWLLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownSholing
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power83.3
1.30xG1.74
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