GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/30/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Salisbury are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 41.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDLLDD

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SalisburyDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownSalisbury
50.0Attack55.6
0.0Defence63.5
0.0Form62.7
21.5Power62.5
1.06xG1.99
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