GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Poole Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDDDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Poole TownLLWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownPoole Town
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power53.0
1.40xG1.66
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