GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/14/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Poole Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWLLLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Poole TownWWWLL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownPoole Town
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power53.0
1.40xG1.66
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