GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/4/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plymouth Parkway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 54.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Plymouth Parkway holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plymouth Parkway

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDLDWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Plymouth ParkwayDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownPlymouth Parkway
50.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
21.5Power75.5
1.31xG2.09
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