GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/3/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLLDWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Basingstoke TownMerthyr Town
50.0Attack67.5
0.0Defence53.2
0.0Form53.2
21.5Power57.2
1.38xG2.39
View match centre →