Basingstoke Townvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/3/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80