GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Marlow are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Marlow hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

65.9%

Model confidence

65.9%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MarlowLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Basingstoke TownMarlow
50.0Attack35.7
0.0Defence8.7
0.0Form16.7
21.5Power23.7
2.70xG1.15
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