Basingstoke Townvs
Malvern Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basingstoke Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Malvern Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern Town hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basingstoke Town
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40