GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Malvern Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern Town hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWLLLW

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Malvern TownDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownMalvern Town
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form16.7
21.5Power30.3
1.82xG1.76
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