GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/9/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hendon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hendon are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hendon hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hendon holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hendon

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Hendon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWWWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HendonLDLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownHendon
50.0Attack55.6
0.0Defence48.4
0.0Form46.0
21.5Power51.9
1.54xG1.94
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