GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/24/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hayes & Yeading United hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedDLLWD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownHayes & Yeading United
50.0Attack46.8
0.0Defence46.8
0.0Form36.5
21.5Power45.1
1.62xG1.60
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