GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrow Borough hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Harrow BoroughLDLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.50/3.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Basingstoke TownHarrow Borough
50.0Attack47.6
0.0Defence23.0
0.0Form31.0
21.5Power36.0
2.40xG1.59
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