Basingstoke Townvs
Harrow Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Harrow Borough are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrow Borough hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basingstoke Town
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.50/3.00