GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/5/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gosport Borough hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDLDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gosport BoroughDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownGosport Borough
50.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
21.5Power26.7
1.53xG1.48
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