GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/29/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gosport Borough are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gosport Borough hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gosport BoroughWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownGosport Borough
50.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
21.5Power26.7
1.53xG1.48
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