GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/8/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gloucester City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gloucester City hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gloucester CityDWDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownGloucester City
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
21.5Power26.7
1.75xG1.51
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