GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/20/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Evesham United hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Evesham UnitedWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownEvesham United
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power40.7
1.74xG1.84
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