GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownDLWWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownDorchester Town
50.0Attack52.4
0.0Defence38.9
0.0Form47.6
21.5Power48.3
1.83xG1.82
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