GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownDorchester Town
50.0Attack52.4
0.0Defence38.9
0.0Form47.6
21.5Power48.3
1.83xG1.82
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