GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/23/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 45.7-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chesham UnitedWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownChesham United
50.0Attack65.9
0.0Defence63.5
0.0Form71.4
21.5Power67.2
1.05xG2.38
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