GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/14/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Chertsey TownWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownChertsey Town
50.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power89.7
1.30xG2.12
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