Basingstoke Townvs
Bracknell Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Basingstoke Town 2-1 Bracknell Town
Original prediction
Basingstoke Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.3% | 47.6% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 23.0% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 29.4% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Basingstoke Town
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40