GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/8/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Berkhamsted · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Berkhamsted are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Berkhamsted hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Berkhamsted holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Berkhamsted

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Berkhamsted has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BerkhamstedWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownBerkhamsted
50.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power45.8
1.62xG1.75
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