GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/9/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Beaconsfield Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beaconsfield Town hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Beaconsfield TownLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownBeaconsfield Town
50.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence38.1
0.0Form38.1
21.5Power44.0
1.89xG1.71
View match centre →