GGOALVIO

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/29/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

East Bengal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bashundhara Kings are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while East Bengal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and East Bengal hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (15.5 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the AFC Challenge League, while East Bengal holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

East Bengal

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

East Bengal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bashundhara KingsLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
East BengalDLWWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bashundhara KingsEast Bengal
11.1Attack66.7
22.2Defence53.3
0.0Form46.7
15.5Power55.0
1.17xG2.06
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