Bashkimi Kumanovovs
Struga
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 10/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Struga · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (14%), 0-2 (14%), 0-4 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Struga
Original prediction
Struga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.88 | 7.0% | 11.2% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.45 | 14.0% | 15.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 79.0% | 72.9% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–314%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.0–411%
Predicted outcome
Struga
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60