Bashkimi Kumanovovs
Sileks
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sileks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bashkimi Kumanovo 0-3 Sileks
Original prediction
Sileks
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.28 | 12.4% | 14.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.3% | 19.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 67.3% | 66.7% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Sileks
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Sileks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20