Bashkimi Kumanovovs
Shkëndija Haraçinë
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkëndija Haraçinë · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bashkimi Kumanovo 1-2 Shkëndija Haraçinë
Original prediction
Shkëndija Haraçinë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 27.7% | 30.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 27.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.6% | 42.0% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Shkëndija Haraçinë
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Shkëndija Haraçinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 16 · avg 0.00/3.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40