Bashkimi Kumanovovs
Pobeda
COMPLETEDMacedonia · Second League · 8/19/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bashkimi Kumanovo are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Pobeda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bashkimi Kumanovo hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20