GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Second League · 8/19/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bashkimi Kumanovo are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Pobeda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bashkimi Kumanovo hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bashkimi KumanovoW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
PobedaWDWLL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bashkimi KumanovoPobeda
32.2Attack31.0
54.0Defence54.0
44.8Form32.2
45.3Power40.4
0.97xG0.77
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