Basford Unitedvs
Morpeth Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morpeth Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basford United are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Morpeth Town are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Morpeth Town hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Morpeth Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morpeth Town
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Morpeth Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33