GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Morpeth Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basford United are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Morpeth Town are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Morpeth Town hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Morpeth Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Morpeth Town

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Morpeth Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basford UnitedW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Morpeth TownWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Basford UnitedMorpeth Town
35.8Attack65.1
46.3Defence34.1
30.1Form44.4
39.3Power47.8
1.48xG1.97
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