Basford Unitedvs
Bedworth United
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basford United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Basford United 0-0 Bedworth United
Original prediction
Basford United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.7% | 43.1% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.1% | 25.9% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.3% | 31.0% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Basford United
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Basford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80