Basford Unitedvs
Bedworth United
SCHEDULEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basford United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basford United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bedworth United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Basford United hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the FA Trophy, while Basford United holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basford United
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
11.7%
Basford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80