Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basel W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zürich W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00