Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basel W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zürich W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00