Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basel W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zürich W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20