GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 10/12/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Basel W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Basel W hold a 71.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basel W

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basel WWLWWL

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
St. Gallen WWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Basel WSt. Gallen W
66.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
86.5Power15.3
2.42xG1.18
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