Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Basel W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Luzern W are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Basel W hold a 62.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50