GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 5/4/2025, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Basel W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Grasshopper W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Grasshopper W hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basel W

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basel WWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Grasshopper WLDDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Basel WGrasshopper W
66.7Attack100.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power88.7
1.86xG1.53
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