Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Basel II 2-3 Zürich II
Original prediction
Zürich II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Zürich II
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Zürich II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Basel IIWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Zürich IIWDLLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Basel IIZürich II
55.6Attack44.4
22.2Defence55.6
33.3Form44.4
40.3Power51.1
1.73xG1.76